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Imagine you could peek under the hood of every Bitcoin-backed loan and instantly know how risky it is. That's the goal of our Risk Model. It's a comprehensive scoring system, built by Bitcoiners, for Bitcoiners, that helps you understand the behind-the-scenes risks of Bitcoin-backed lending products.
Our model analyzes 13 distinct risk factors, from the security of the custodied Bitcoin to the transparency of the lender's operations. Each factor is scored, weighted, and then combined to generate a single, easy-to-understand risk score for every loan product.
Bitcoin-Backed Lending 2025
The Bitcoin-collateralized loan market has swelled to an estimated US $14 billion in mid-2025 [1], showing remarkable resilience and growth since the lender wipeouts of 2022. The market is now being pulled in two distinct directions. On one side, institutional adoption, driven by spot Bitcoin ETFs and clearer accounting guidance, is fueling a resurgence in custodial (CeFi) lending [2]. On the other side, innovations in self-custody—like multisig escrows, DLCs, and new Layer 2 protocols like ArkadeOS—are giving borrowers unprecedented control and privacy, albeit at a higher price.